This is going to be a fairly random post, with a few ideas that have been on my mind lately.
On Saturday, my dear aunt Lise died. She had cancer of the ovaries. She lived five years after her diagnosis, in 2015. I got to see her on Thursday, which was possible under strict security measures due to the COVID epidemic. I think that without that opportunity, I would have an even harder time to cope. I really feel it for everyone who’s been cut off from their family, in similar circumstances, due to the lockdown.
I’m hopeful about that we’ll get through this terrible period, and that it might lead to positive changes.
Many raw-foodists, health “experts” and other gurus are showing their dark side of conspiracy theorists, total disregard of science and really, a lot of naive delusion. For example, I read recently that this epidemic is a “scam” and that even the Spanish Flu, which killed over 50 million people after WW1. His explanation was that the massive vaccination campaigns that were going on at the time, especially what the soldiers were forced to take, caused it.
I couldn’t even get started debunking this. In fact, there’s no need for debunking because the statement is as ridiculous as saying that the First World War never happened at all.
If someone is coming up or believing such large scale conspiracy theories that literally fall under their own weight, being so impossible to believe, it must means something… denial.
Denial of the simple fact that there are some things that we CAN’T control. Your diet can affect your health in many positive ways, but it may not be enough to avoid all illnesses, especially those caused by viruses.
This is so hard to swallow for people who want to believe that they have found the answer (because this gives them great comfort and a sense of control), that they come up with the most outlandish conspiracy theories.
It’s shocking to me that in a matter of weeks we managed to do what was impossible to do when it comes to preventing the worst consequences of climate change. It shows that a society is able to change, when it really decides to.
Yet, the pandemic may kill millions of people, at worst tens of millions of people. Climate change, if we don’t do anything to stop it, will kill billions of people and maybe even end life on earth. Or most likely end life on earth as we know it. So human beings are motivated by an immediate threat, not a distant threat, even when it’s much bigger.
This is not an easy concept to understand, even though it’s very basic. It goes against human nature to grasp it instantly, without reflecting upon it for a while.
If a lake is being invaded by water lilies in 48 days, and every day they double in size, on which day will half the lake be invaded by water lilies?
The correct answer, and this is counter intuitive, is on the 47th day.
This is how exponential growth works. At first, not much appears to be going on. We tell ourselves “there’s nothing there!”
Then it grows, little by little. Then it reaches a certain milestone. And from that milestone, the numbers are growing really fast.
The US reached 100,000 cases of COVID-19 on March 27th. The first cases were recorded on February 22nd. It took 34 days to reach the first 100,000 cases.
It took 5 days to reach the next 100,000.
It took 3 days to reach the next 100,000.
This is why many people have downplayed this threat.
What can protect you against COVID? The answer is we don’t know. Anyone who claims the opposite is selling you something — either a product or content, which they get paid for.
The true answer is: time. Let’s take our time to return to normal, while we figure things out.
Who’s an expert right now? The question is not so easy to answer. Experts are trying to figure things out. Non-experts are claiming to be experts. Sometimes one group turns out to have right before the other.
The most interesting content I read on the topic of COVID was from Italian novelist Paolo Giordano. His short book, written at the beginning of March, turns out to be incredibly insightful. It’s been translated into French and Spanish so far. I’m sure the English version will come out soon. Check it out. (The original title is ‘Nel contagio’)
What are your random thoughts?